AI tips — Saturday, 22 August 2026

This page is part of the permanent AIBets ledger. Tips, odds, probabilities and timestamps are recorded at publication and never rewritten.

Final results

Saturday, 22 August 2026 · settled
5Tips
2Won
3Lost
40%Win rate
-1.7u1-unit P/L
-34%ROI

If you followed every AIBets tip on 22 Aug

5Tips
2Wins
3Losses
40%Win rate
100uStarting bank
1uStake per tip
5uTotal staked
3.3uTotal returned
-1.7uDaily P/L
-34%Daily ROI
All 5 tips combinedOne accumulator at the published prices
11.43LOST ✗

Accumulator performance is shown for comparison only. AIBets' primary statistics use individual 1-unit selections settled at the exact odds captured when each prediction was published — never later prices.

TimeMatchAI tipOddsAI win chanceConfidenceStatus
18:30 Brentford v Tottenham FootballPremier League Both teams to score — Yes 1.53
68%
HIGH LOST ✗FT 3-0 View analysis →
20:45 Genoa v Napoli FootballSerie A Away win 1.85
58%
GOOD WON ✓FT 0-2
View analysis
What this bet means

Napoli to win the match outright at Genoa. A draw or home win loses the bet.

Why the model likes it

The API strongly favours Napoli with head-to-head record at 85% and total comparison at 72%, with the advice being 'draw or Napoli double chance'. Napoli's away odds of 1.85 imply 54% probability while the model estimates 58%, suggesting marginal positive expected value supported by consistent directional signals.

21:00 Heerenveen v PEC Zwolle FootballEredivisie Home win 1.61
65%
HIGH LOST ✗FT 0-2
View analysis
What this bet means

Heerenveen to win the match outright. A draw or away win loses the bet.

Why the model likes it

Heerenveen are strongly favoured across all API metrics with 100% form and Poisson distribution ratings, 67.3% total probability, and a 62% head-to-head record advantage over PEC Zwolle. At odds of 1.61 (implied ~62%), the the model's win chance of 65% suggests marginal positive expected value for the home win.

21:30 Sporting CP v Alverca FootballPrimeira Liga Over 2.5 goals 1.45
72%
HIGH WON ✓FT 3-1 View analysis →
21:30 Sporting CP v Alverca FootballPrimeira Liga Both teams to score — No 1.73
62%
GOOD LOST ✗FT 3-1
View analysis
What this bet means

Both sides need to score at least once — any result works as long as neither keeps a clean sheet.

Why the model likes it

The API projects Alverca at -1.5 goals, suggesting they are unlikely to score, while Sporting's defensive comparison is rated 50/50 but their overall dominance suggests a clean sheet is plausible. BTTS No at 1.73 implies ~57.8% probability, and with Alverca being a heavy underdog unlikely to breach a strong Sporting defence, the model supports this selection.

Football · Premier League 18:30

Brentford v Tottenham

AI tipBoth teams to score — Yes
1.53
68%
ConfidenceHIGH
StatusLOST ✗

Full time 3-0

View analysis →1.53 at publish
Football · Serie A 20:45

Genoa v Napoli

AI tipAway win
1.85
58%
ConfidenceGOOD
StatusWON ✓

Full time 0-2

View analysis
What this bet means

Napoli to win the match outright at Genoa. A draw or home win loses the bet.

Why the model likes it

The API strongly favours Napoli with head-to-head record at 85% and total comparison at 72%, with the advice being 'draw or Napoli double chance'. Napoli's away odds of 1.85 imply 54% probability while the model estimates 58%, suggesting marginal positive expected value supported by consistent directional signals.

1.85 at publish
Football · Eredivisie 21:00

Heerenveen v PEC Zwolle

AI tipHome win
1.61
65%
ConfidenceHIGH
StatusLOST ✗

Full time 0-2

View analysis
What this bet means

Heerenveen to win the match outright. A draw or away win loses the bet.

Why the model likes it

Heerenveen are strongly favoured across all API metrics with 100% form and Poisson distribution ratings, 67.3% total probability, and a 62% head-to-head record advantage over PEC Zwolle. At odds of 1.61 (implied ~62%), the the model's win chance of 65% suggests marginal positive expected value for the home win.

1.61 at publish
Football · Primeira Liga 21:30

Sporting CP v Alverca

AI tipOver 2.5 goals
1.45
72%
ConfidenceHIGH
StatusWON ✓

Full time 3-1

View analysis →1.45 at publish
Football · Primeira Liga 21:30

Sporting CP v Alverca

AI tipBoth teams to score — No
1.73
62%
ConfidenceGOOD
StatusLOST ✗

Full time 3-1

View analysis
What this bet means

Both sides need to score at least once — any result works as long as neither keeps a clean sheet.

Why the model likes it

The API projects Alverca at -1.5 goals, suggesting they are unlikely to score, while Sporting's defensive comparison is rated 50/50 but their overall dominance suggests a clean sheet is plausible. BTTS No at 1.73 implies ~57.8% probability, and with Alverca being a heavy underdog unlikely to breach a strong Sporting defence, the model supports this selection.

1.73 at publish

Win rate = wins ÷ settled tips × 100 (voids excluded). Units and ROI assume 1-unit level stakes at the odds recorded when each tip was published — never later prices. Full methodology →

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