How AIBets works

What the model does, why every tip locks before kick-off, and the claims we refuse to make. You never need to understand the AI to use the tips — but everything is here if you want it.

  1. 1

    Draft

    The model prices every fixture on its slate: recent form, expected goals, matchups, rest days, squad availability and the market price.

  2. 2

    Published

    Selections with a genuine edge are published with their probability, confidence tier and the exact odds at publication — all timestamped.

  3. 3

    Locked

    At kick-off the tip locks. Selection, odds, probability and confidence can no longer change; any correction would be visible against the audit timestamps.

  4. 4

    Settled

    After full time the result is recorded — won, lost or void — and every daily, sport and confidence statistic recalculates from the ledger.

What the AI probability means

Every tip carries the model's estimated chance of landing. A 76% tip is expected to lose roughly one time in four — that is normal and by design. The question is never whether one tip won, it is whether the published probabilities beat the published prices over a meaningful sample. That is exactly what the performance ledger measures.

Why the confidence tiers exist

HIGH, GOOD and MODERATE group tips by how strongly the model rates its own estimate. The performance page breaks results down by tier so you can check whether the confidence model actually earns its labels — if HIGH tips don't outperform MODERATE ones over time, you will see it there before we do.

What we will not claim

  • We will not describe any selection as a sure win, a fixed match, or guaranteed.
  • We will not delete or quietly amend a published selection after it loses.
  • We will not present a win rate without the odds and units it was achieved at.
  • We will not rank an operator higher because it pays a higher commission.

How we make money

AIBets is an independent AI prediction and affiliate referral service. We do not accept bets. We may earn a commission when you open an account through our links, at no extra cost to you. This never changes a published tip, probability, result or operator assessment.

Responsible gambling

Winners know when to stop. Only gamble with money you can afford to lose. Betting in South Africa is restricted to adults aged 18 and over. If gambling has stopped being fun, the National Responsible Gambling Programme helpline is 0800 006 008 — free and confidential, 24/7.

Corrections

If you spot an error in a published selection, a result or an operator's terms, tell us and we will correct it and note the correction publicly.

18+

Bet responsibly

Winners know when to stop. Only gamble with money you can afford to lose.

No person under the age of 18 may gamble. AIBets does not accept bets and does not provide any betting service to anyone under 18.

No prediction is a guarantee. The model estimates probabilities — it does not know results. A 76% tip loses roughly one time in four, and anyone promising sure wins is not being honest with you. We publish every prediction with its outcome, including the losing ones, so you can judge the record yourself.

If gambling is causing you or someone close to you harm, free and confidential help is available from the National Responsible Gambling Programme, delivered by the South African Responsible Gambling Foundation:

0800 006 008 (toll-free)

or WhatsApp/SMS 076 675 0710

You can also apply to be self-excluded from licensed gambling in South Africa. Ask your operator or the National Gambling Board about the exclusions register. More help and self-exclusion resources →